Afghan hydrocarbons: a source for development or for conflict: a risk assessment of Norwegian involvement in development of the Afghan oil and gas industry
This report reviews the process that is underway for exploring and utilising Afghan and regional oil and gas resources, taking into consideration the security situation in north Afghanistan. The report states that Afghan hydrocarbons resources are primarily located in northern Afghanistan. The security situation is stable there, but there is an increased risk for instability if the internal political balance is changed. In addition, most Afghans express a high level of suspicion about the motives and intentions of neighbouring countries and, increasingly, also of the international community.
According to the report, Afghans are of the opinion that oil and gas reserves are national property, to be used for the benefit of all Afghans and not groups in particular area or individuals holding key positions. In addition, there are a number of other energy transfer projects planned in the wider region where Afghanistan could act as a hub.
As a result, the report recommends that the Norwegian government provide the following assistance that at the moment entails fewer risks while addressing major challenges in the wider energy sector:
- advice on the political process of negotiating agreements for utilisation and division of underground natural resources with neighbouring countries
- assist in training and development of Afghan technical expertise in oil and gas exploration, production and management
- assist in the further development of the hydro power and alternative energy sector
- be active in providing information about past and present Norwegian involvement in the energy sector, including in local languages and in multiple media channels.
