Horizon highlights emerging issues, synthesises the latest research on development trends and predictive ‘futures’, and summarises the policy implications.
Understanding our future and being able to plan strategically for it, has become a significant area of research. ‘Futures’ research and horizon scanning extrapolates from trends and historical data, makes probability-based assessments, evaluates alternative scenarios, and makes use of expert opinion, among other methods.
By developing intelligent forecasts the aim of Horizon is to help policymakers and development managers cope with uncertainty. Each issue brings a balanced view on a topic by drawing on peer-reviewed research from multiple sources; highlighting southern experience and synthesising expert opinion. It is distributed free to policymakers and practitioners worldwide.
Current issue of Horizon
- Tackling non-conflict armed violence: time for a re-think?
- Over half of the 740,000 people who die every year as a result of violence die in non-conflict settings. The global cost of non-conflict armed violence (NCAV) is estimated at US$163 billion annually. These heavy costs demand a more nuanced understanding of the causes of this violence, and the implications for policy. This issue synthesises the latest research on NCAV – focusing on its drivers, implications for development, and proposed policy responses.
Previous issues of Horizon
- Non-conflict armed violence: Rethinking models of conflict and conflict resolution
- J. Collodi; F. M'Cormack / Eldis Gateway to Development and Environment Information, 2010
- Significant unrest that falls outside the scope of civil conflict or rebel insurgency is becoming more common. Predictive research directs us to rethink the scale and impact of what are currently considered ‘low-intensity’...
- Population growth, environment and food security: what does the future hold?
- J. Collodi; F. M'Cormack / Institute of Development Studies UK, 2009
- Is population growth the elephant in the (development) room? Some commentators assert it is the most pertinent development issue the world faces, but one which policy makers – for fear of impinging ‘human rights’ &nd...
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