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Use of IK in predicting or observing the impacts of climate change

Indigenous knowledge is now recognised as a powerful tool for compiling evidence of climate change over time, and is beginning to be seen as a tool for forecasting seasonal climate information. In places such as sub-Saharan Africa where the technical infrastructure available for climate observation and forecasting is limited, this may offer an important resource for a wide range of stakeholders, from researchers to communities themselves. There is also considerable interest in integrating indigenous and scientific forecasting to improve its accuracy and uptake at local scales. This integration, being piloted in Kenya (as described in the Nganyi Community video linked below), Tanzania and Benin among other countries. It offers benefits both in terms of the accuracy of forecasting (as scientific forecasting is often not available at a sufficiently localised scale) and in the uptake of forecasts (as communities often place greater trust in traditional forecasting than those of meteorological agencies). In Kenya in particular, the co-production of “consensus forecasts” by both indigenous and scientific authorities, offers a compelling model of how these two knowledge sets may come into dialogue.

Integrating meteorological and indigenous knowledge-based seasonal climate forecasts for the agricultural sector: lessons from participatory action research in sub-Saharan Africa
G. Ziervogel (ed); A. Opere (ed) / International Development Research Centre 2010
This paper examines how meteorological seasonal climate forecasts (SCF) and indigenous knowledge-based seasonal forecasts (IKF) can complement each other to improve agricultural productivity in sub-Saharan Africa. Using case studies, ...
The Earth is faster now: indigenous observations of arctic environmental change
I. Krupnik (ed); D. Jolly (ed) / Arctic Research Consortium of the United States 2002
This paper presents observations of indigenous people on the arctic environmental change and the implications of such change. It also examines the ways in which social science methods and results contribute to collective understanding...
New voices, different perspectives: Proceedings of the AfricaAdapt Climate Change Symposium 2011
Institute of Development Studies, Sussex [ES] 2011
This report brings together the proceedings of the 2011 AfricaAdapt Climate Change Symposium, which share the research, experiences, and co-constructed knowledge that emerged from the three-day, bilingual symposium with the wider clim...