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Business and conflict

Corruption and armed conflicts; some stirring around in the governance soup

What is the impact of corruption on conflict?

Authors:
Publisher: International Relations and Security Network , 2007

This paper explores the causal linkages between corruption and civil wars. It discusses the impact of corruption on the probability of violent conflict events and traces the shifts in the composition of corrupt transactions during and in the aftermath of violent conflicts.

The author brings the two strands of empirical research of corruption and civil wars together and argues that anomalies arise that would have been difficult to detect within each field in isolation.

Some of the key conclusions include:

  • corruption causes GDP levels – GDP levels cause conflicts, hence, corruption causes conflict
  • countries characterised by high corruption have infant mortality rates almost twice those of countries with low corruption
  • as things now stand, one cannot expect to be able to uncover much in the manner of stable, autonomous relationships to link, for example, corruption and armed conflicts
  • infant mortality proved to have greater impact and higher significance than GDP/capita in determining the likelihood of political instability.