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Child survival 2: How many child deaths can we prevent this year?

Preventing child deaths: we have the means, now we need to take action

Authors: G. Jones; R.W. Steketee; R.E. Black; Z.A. Bhutta; S.S. Morris; Bellagio Child Survival Study Group
Publisher: The Lancet, 2003

Two thirds of child deaths in poor countries could be prevented using interventions that are readily available today, according to this article, the second in The Lancet child survival series.

The authors consider the effectiveness of available interventions in combating the main causes of death among children under five (diarrhoea, pneumonia, measles, malaria, HIV/AIDS and the underlying effects of undernutrition). Their research concentrated on those interventions that could feasibly be delivered to a high proportion of the population in the 42 low income countries where 90 per cent of child deaths occur. Using a statistical model the researchers went on to calculate how many child deaths could be prevented by universal delivery of these interventions.

Key findings include the following:

One of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) is to reduce child mortality by two thirds between 1990 and 2015. The report emphasises that, without substantial change very soon, this MDG will not be met. It concludes that:

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