Can we reverse the HIV/AIDS pandemic with an expanded response?
Can we reverse the HIV/AIDS pandemic with an expanded response?
This short paper uses mathematical and other analyses to project the potential effects of expanding successful prevention measures. It finds that if the successes achieved in some countries in prevention of transmission can be expanded to a global scale by 2005, about 29 million new infections could be prevented by 2010.
The authors examine the potential effect of a further expanded global response based on analyses of epidemiological data, of mathematical models of HIV-1 transmission, and a review of the impact of prevention interventions on risk behaviours. They ask how many new infections can be averted by timely and effective implementation of this comprehensive prevention package, and will it be enough to reverse the epidemic and achieve the aims of the expanded response?
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