A study of the uncertainty in future Caribbean climate using the PRECIS regional climate model

A study of the uncertainty in future Caribbean climate using the PRECIS regional climate model

Published Jan 2007

Author

K. Leslie et al.

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If regions of high vulnerability to climate change such as  the Caribbean are to adequately adapt to its uncertainties then an accurate projection of region-specific scenarios is in order. PRECIS is unique in this respect in that it downscales global climate change scenarios to the regional level. This study looks at the uncertainty in model determined future climates of the Caribbean region which was conducted using various combinations of the SRES A2 and B2 scenarios with the Hadley PRECIS Regional model (RCM). All experiments showed high confidence for the temperature to increase by at least two degrees Celcius and for a reduction in the precipitation over the entire Caribbean basin

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