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What does the future hold for SACU? From own goal to Laduma! Scenarios for the future of the Southern African Customs Union
South African Institute of International Affairs, 2010A group of Southern African Customs Union (SACU) experts and interested parties recently participated in a scenario-planning exercise on the future of SACU. This paper gives an account of the scenarios developed, which range from SACU collapsing to a scenario where it deepens into a common market.DocumentBanking in Nigeria and Chinese economic diplomacy in Africa
South African Institute of International Affairs, 2010While Sino–Nigerian relations have grown significantly since the 1970s, several aspects of the relationship have been controversial and difficult. However, the special attraction the two countries hold for each other has made the relationship persist, even amid difficulties and challenges.DocumentTrade, industrial policy and exchange rates in South Africa
South African Institute of International Affairs, 2010South Africa’s trade, industrial and exchange rate policies have been the subject of substantial public debate in recent months, not least owing to the impact of the 2008–10 global financial crisis.DocumentSACU - one hundred not out: what future for the Customs Union?
South African Institute of International Affairs, 2010This paper is based on research conducted recently in South Africa (SA), Namibia, Angola and Botswana. Policy and decision makers were asked to complete a questionnaire about the future of the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). Although the responses to the questionnaire were low, the interaction with respondents was of a high quality.DocumentAn overview of the carbon trading landscape: possibilities and pitfalls for South Africa
South African Institute of International Affairs, 2010In order to meet its international and domestic carbon emissions requirements, South Africa needs to substantially rethink its current energy and industrial trajectories. This represents a massive challenge for any country with such a high dependence on coal as part of its energy mix – especially in light of retaining its global competitiveness and maintaining its economic growth.DocumentChinese debt, aid and trade: opportunity or threat for Zambia?
South African Institute of International Affairs, 2011The ripple effects of China’s economic ascendance over the past two decades have reached various aspects of the global economy. It cannot be ignored by countries such as Zambia, where this growing influence is strongly felt in the country’s social, economic and political economy.DocumentChina's overseas foreign direct investment risk: 2008–2009
South African Institute of International Affairs, 2011Since the implementation of its ‘going-out’ strategy, China’s outward foreign direct investment (FDI) has experienced a rapid development, which has already become an important part of its overseas interests.DocumentAfrica and the geopolitics of the Indian Ocean
South African Institute of International Affairs, 2011Throughout the history of the Indian Ocean, littoral, island and extra-regional states have vied to secure their trade routes, which in turn affects Africa. By reviewing the stakeholders’ dynamics in the Indian Ocean, the implications and challenges for Africa can be analysed.DocumentCumulative costs of trade protection in the South African economy
South African Institute of International Affairs, 2011Powerful theoretical reasoning and overwhelming empirical evidence demonstrate that protectionism, being selective and economically distortive, is to the disadvantage of the very country behaving in a protectionist fashion. Although the protected industries can gain from trade protection measures, other industries may suffer severely.DocumentInternational trade and emerging markets since the crisis
South African Institute of International Affairs, 2011The global economic crisis has sparked the short-term divergence of economic performance between the West and emerging markets, thereby accelerating their convergence in the long-run, and is particularly evident in globalising Asia. Governments’ responses to the biggest deglobalisation since the Great Depression did not precipitate a descent into 1930s-style protectionism.Pages
