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Fiscal and monetary contraction in Chile : a rational - expectations approach
Policy Research Working Papers, World Bank, 1995To analyze the probable macroeconomic impact of fiscal and monetary retrenchment in Chile, an open economy, dynamic rational expectations macroeconomic model is applied to data for Chile.For the past two decades, Chile has consistently pursued a course of macroeconomic stabilization and deep economic reform.DocumentPension reform and growth
Policy Research Working Papers, World Bank, 1995Replacing a payasyougo pension system with a fully funded scheme could eliminate the incentives (under the pay as you go system) to informalize production and employment. Simulations of an endogenous growth model suggest that long-term growth could increase substantially by such a reform.DocumentPension systems and reforms : country experiences and research issues
Policy Research Working Papers, World Bank, 1995Country experiences of old age social security arrangements, and 15 research and policy design issues not addressed in the literature.Pension reform is spreading around the globe, from Latin America to the OECD countries, and major reform projects are being discussed in many other developing, transition, and OECD countries.Arrau and Schmidt-Hebbel survey current research issues and country eDocumentSustainability of private capital flows to developing countries : is ageneralized reversal likely?
Policy Research Working Papers, World Bank, 1995Developing countries that undertake adequate domestic reform should continue to expect capital inflows, despite recent events in Mexico and the U.S. Federal Reserve Board's raising of interest rates during 1994.Since 1989, private capital flows to a select group of developing countries have increased sharply, but developments in 1994 have caused concern about the sustainability of those flows.DocumentThe impact of minimum wages in Mexico and Colombia
Policy Research Working Papers, World Bank, 1995Comparative data from Mexico and Colombia are used to analyze the impact of minimum wages. In Mexico, low levels of compliance and ineffective levels of minimum wages imply negligible employment effects.DocumentSavings and education : a life - cycle model applied to a panel of 74 countries
Policy Research Working Papers, World Bank, 1995In the long run, education improves the national saving rate and hence growth. But this positive effect takes time to be completely realized, and it varies across regions and levels of development.Morisset and Revoredo analyze how education contributes to savings. There are many reasons to believe that education and savings may be linked, either positively or negatively.DocumentAgricultural trade liberalization in the Uruguay Round : one step forward,one step back?
Policy Research Working Papers, World Bank, 1995The Uruguay Round appears to have made import protection in agriculture more transparent, but at the expense of significant liberalization in most countries.DocumentMigration and the skill composition of the labor force : the impact of trade liberalization in developing countries
Policy Research Working Papers, World Bank, 1995The average skill level of the labor force in a developing country tends to improve under a policy of trade liberalization and to decline under increased protection.In the standard Heckscher-Ohlin model, trade and migration are substitutes (that is, migration decreases with trade liberalization).DocumentInterest rates, credit and economic adjustment in Nicaragua
Policy Research Working Papers, World Bank, 1995Nicaragua's dollar equivalent and real interest rates are not unusually high by regional standards.DocumentEmployment and wage effects of trade liberalization : the case of Mexicanmanufacturing
Policy Research Working Papers, World Bank, 1995Cuts in Mexico's tariff levels were associated with a slight decline in employment in Mexico and with increases in average wages (perhaps reflecting improved productivity in the reformed industries and a shift toward the use of more skilled workers).Pages
